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Ghost buses vs. vanishes
A ghost bus is a scheduled trip that never ran β€” the bus never departed, or left the garage but never appeared in the live feed for its assigned trip. A vanished prediction is a trip that started but whose arrival countdown disappeared mid-route, before the final stop, with no completion recorded.

The ghost rate is ghosts Γ· scheduled trips observed during the polling window. Days with partial collection (outages, the early dataset) show lower raw counts but a roughly comparable rate; the rate chart is the more reliable signal across time.

Daily counts

Ghosts (no-show) Vanished (mid-route) Missing-bus incidents β€” consecutive no-show trips on one bus's block counted as one event (days before 2026-06-28 predate this measure)

Ghost rate

Ghosts as % of scheduled trips

Rider-hours lost to no-shows

Estimated rider-hours lost per day: each bus no-show's would-be riders wait for the next bus that actually ran (capped at 60 min each), weighted by WPRDC route-level ridership. Bus only β€” rail excluded (feed-coverage-suspect). Days before the metric launched show no line.