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Ghost buses vs. vanishes
A ghost bus is a scheduled trip that never ran β the bus
never departed, or left the garage but never appeared in the live feed for
its assigned trip. A vanished prediction is a trip that
started but whose arrival countdown disappeared mid-route, before the final
stop, with no completion recorded.
The ghost rate is ghosts Γ· scheduled trips observed during the polling window. Days with partial collection (outages, the early dataset) show lower raw counts but a roughly comparable rate; the rate chart is the more reliable signal across time.
Daily counts
Ghosts (no-show)
Vanished (mid-route)
Missing-bus incidents β consecutive no-show trips on one bus's block counted as one event (days before 2026-06-28 predate this measure)
Ghost rate
Ghosts as % of scheduled trips
Rider-hours lost to no-shows
Estimated rider-hours lost per day: each bus no-show's would-be riders wait for the next bus that actually ran (capped at 60 min each), weighted by WPRDC route-level ridership. Bus only β rail excluded (feed-coverage-suspect). Days before the metric launched show no line.